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Red112
454243.8
292321.5
154051.4
Blue126
198343.6
298014.3
247150.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071130200300400500600112126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#39
51.40.2
61.161.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2471
#44
50.40.7
49.049.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4542
#15
43.80.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1983
#34
43.60.7
45.245.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#62
21.50.2
18.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2980
#49
14.30.7
17.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End