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Red111
131878.7
281138.5
142546.2
Blue142
412026.3
214942.8
339367.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011180300400111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.73.8
84.080.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
67.60.6
64.164.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
#59
46.23.8
60.456.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2149
#40
42.80.6
36.737.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2811
#14
38.53.8
43.639.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4120
#30
26.30.6
30.030.6
Auto
Teleop
End