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Red101
406159.8
292321.5
255753.3
Blue139
412541.4
292729.3
99748.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143109050200250300350101139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#41
59.81.8
65.163.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
997
#10
48.31.3
42.543.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2557
#16
53.31.8
53.451.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4125
#29
41.41.3
42.443.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#62
21.51.8
18.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
2927
#25
29.31.3
29.030.2
Auto
Teleop
End