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Red115
154051.4
94840.0
131878.7
Blue141
407759.3
511124.4
290756.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2051140300400115141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.73.8
80.176.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
4077
#21
59.30.7
60.060.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1540
#39
51.43.8
63.159.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2907
#51
56.80.7
54.455.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
948
#23
40.03.8
47.944.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
5111
#33
24.40.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End