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Red144
454243.8
49241.5
367441.5
Blue93
413119.8
255753.3
366343.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102121020030040014493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4542
#15
43.81.9
28.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
2557
#16
53.31.2
51.550.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3674
#54
41.51.9
38.740.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3663
#24
43.31.2
46.545.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
492
#9
41.51.9
37.439.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
4131
#58
19.81.2
19.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End