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Red126
95642.0
292321.5
381255.7
Blue196
339367.6
263528.9
491841.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93148050200250300350126196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.2
48.049.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
67.62.8
64.267.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
956
#31
42.01.2
37.638.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4918
#47
41.72.8
42.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#62
21.51.2
16.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2635
#48
28.92.8
32.335.2
Auto
Teleop
End