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Red160
511124.4
204650.5
247150.4
Blue116
252252.6
241125.6
321930.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112108050150200250300350160116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#45
50.52.4
45.848.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2522
#17
52.60.4
48.248.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2471
#44
50.42.4
51.654.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
3219
#20
30.50.4
34.334.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5111
#33
24.42.4
14.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2411
#57
25.60.4
26.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End