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Red178
339367.6
129429.8
448882.5
Blue183
381255.7
159555.0
241246.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191153050100250300350400178183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.50.1
84.284.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.8
55.70.4
56.456.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67.60.1
69.469.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
55.00.4
55.756.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1294
#27
29.80.1
31.531.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
2412
#36
46.40.4
47.147.5
Auto
Teleop
End