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Red76
338730.2
338222.6
398626.4
Blue25
398827.5
398717.6
452617.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87610501001502007625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.1
31.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3988
#12
27.50.7
28.127.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3986
#30
26.40.1
27.527.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
17.70.7
18.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3382
#22
22.60.1
23.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3987
#14
17.60.7
18.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End