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Red70
311735.5
354411.8
336056.4
Blue74
452617.7
398827.5
29618.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065501502002503007074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#10
56.41.6
51.750.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.9
3988
#12
27.50.6
30.130.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3117
#27
35.52.4
31.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
296
#26
18.20.9
14.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3544
#41
11.82.4
15.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
17.70.9
18.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End