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Red39
337912.5
459420.9
398626.4
Blue55
398122.0
452617.7
397918.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494101001502003955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#30
26.40.4
25.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
22.01.1
13.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4594
#21
20.90.7
11.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3979
#34
18.81.1
9.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3379
#36
12.50.7
10.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
17.71.1
19.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End