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Red176
397522.1
311735.5
107535.4
Blue23
398915.0
354411.8
338222.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783405010015020017623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#27
35.58.8
29.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
3382
#22
22.61.5
15.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.45.3
30.535.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
3989
#23
15.01.5
14.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
22.18.8
11.320.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
3544
#41
11.81.5
10.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End