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Red42
398626.4
449111.1
262620.6
Blue66
311735.5
400726.7
494219.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78760501001502002503004266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#30
26.41.8
25.223.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
3117
#27
35.50.8
37.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#31
20.63.0
33.730.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
26.70.8
18.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4491
#29
11.13.0
18.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
4942
#35
19.20.8
20.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End