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Red29
398827.5
495514.3
262620.6
Blue106
397522.1
449111.1
338641.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647805010015020025029106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#12
27.51.9
27.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
41.21.5
42.744.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#31
20.63.1
30.727.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
22.12.5
17.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4955
#38
14.33.1
8.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
4491
#29
11.12.5
15.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End