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Red82
107535.4
397718.9
398717.6
Blue45
452617.7
459420.9
398528.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615101001502002508245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.41.4
27.028.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3985
#24
28.50.4
23.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3977
#37
18.91.9
19.521.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4594
#21
20.90.6
9.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3987
#14
17.61.9
12.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
17.70.6
19.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End