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Red42
495713.0
337912.5
397718.9
Blue120
29618.2
398528.5
311735.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388705010015020042120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3977
#37
18.90.3
19.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
3117
#27
35.53.2
36.539.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4957
#28
13.00.3
17.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
3985
#24
28.52.0
26.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3379
#36
12.50.3
8.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
296
#26
18.23.2
16.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End