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Red52
495016.4
398915.0
398827.5
Blue74
262620.6
396920.7
398717.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060801001201405274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#12
27.50.4
22.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
3969
#17
20.71.7
14.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4950
#32
16.40.5
16.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2626
#31
20.61.7
19.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3989
#23
15.00.5
5.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3987
#14
17.61.7
14.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End