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Red52
338222.6
338730.2
398626.4
Blue37
311735.5
355031.8
398122.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81940501502005237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
31.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
3117
#27
35.51.0
36.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3986
#30
26.40.5
27.727.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3550
#25
31.80.9
32.731.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3382
#22
22.60.6
24.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
22.01.0
23.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End