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Red118
216855.8
516321.0
151962.7
Blue120
7859.5
476123.6
12547.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143129050100200250300350118120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.4
63.162.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
78
#2
59.50.2
59.759.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.80.4
56.255.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
125
#6
47.70.2
47.947.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5163
#30
21.00.4
21.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
4761
#17
23.60.2
23.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End