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Red115
66316.0
110041.1
404860.6
Blue112
19048.7
13849.4
135037.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112145050200250300115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.0
60.460.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
138
#8
49.40.5
50.750.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.10.0
40.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
190
#13
48.70.5
50.049.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
#27
16.00.0
15.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
1350
#26
37.60.5
38.938.4
Auto
Teleop
End