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Red50
490515.4
19735.9
135037.6
Blue163
404860.6
479611.4
19048.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54105015020025050163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#26
37.60.6
33.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
60.63.3
45.548.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4905
#28
15.40.6
12.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.3
190
#13
48.73.3
42.846.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#36
5.91.0
15.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
4796
#37
11.45.5
8.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End