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Red52
17577.9
37804.4
404860.6
Blue95
511232.4
371919.7
13849.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607701001502002505295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.5
41.040.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
138
#8
49.41.0
43.544.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1757
#34
7.90.9
16.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
32.41.0
20.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3780
#19
4.40.5
5.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
3719
#12
19.71.0
10.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End