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Red21
226211.2
500018.4
19658.4
Blue122
516321.0
490515.4
7859.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328805010015020025021122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#22
18.41.7
11.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.1
78
#2
59.52.1
51.153.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2262
#25
11.21.7
10.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
5163
#30
21.02.1
15.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
#24
8.41.7
19.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
4905
#28
15.42.1
12.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End