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Red157
362326.5
511232.4
34846.8
Blue125
6157.1
135037.6
392713.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76114050100150200250300157125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#10
46.83.8
36.640.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
61
#14
57.10.9
56.857.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.43.8
27.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1350
#26
37.60.9
36.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3623
#15
26.53.8
17.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3927
#33
13.01.4
15.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End