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Red70
371919.7
12547.7
226211.2
Blue51
151737.3
17577.9
490515.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467001001502007051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
47.71.0
34.435.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
37.30.7
40.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3719
#12
19.71.0
10.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4905
#28
15.40.7
15.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2262
#25
11.21.6
5.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1757
#34
7.91.2
9.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End