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Red181
216855.8
516321.0
151962.7
Blue99
6157.1
511232.4
490824.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711205020025030018199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.8
60.661.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
61
#14
57.10.3
57.957.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.80.8
53.754.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
32.40.3
33.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5163
#30
21.00.8
18.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4908
#20
24.10.3
24.824.5
Auto
Teleop
End