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Red112
222112.6
497810.6
333713.6
Blue155
36467.1
399121.3
525922.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511310100150200250300112155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3337
Unranked
13.62.4
17.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 53.5
364
Unranked
67.11.8
70.772.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
Unranked
12.63.0
22.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
5259
Unranked
22.01.8
19.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4978
Unranked
10.63.0
22.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
3991
Unranked
21.31.8
28.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End