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Red42
420921.1
497810.6
51684.2
Blue21
18189.5
453217.2
48051.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47460204060801004221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4209
Unranked
21.10.1
16.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4532
Unranked
17.21.4
28.827.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4978
Unranked
10.60.1
19.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1818
Unranked
9.51.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5168
Unranked
4.20.1
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4805
Unranked
1.51.4
6.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End