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Red261
258751.4
458752.1
525922.0
Blue78
142148.5
191226.7
222112.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103121020030040050026178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
52.17.8
41.349.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1421
Unranked
48.52.0
57.055.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2587
Unranked
51.47.8
47.855.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
1912
Unranked
26.72.0
39.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5259
Unranked
22.07.8
16.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
2221
Unranked
12.62.0
21.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End