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Red157
258751.4
458752.1
18189.5
Blue106
399121.3
299234.2
303920.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12066050100150200250300157106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
52.10.8
51.752.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
2992
Unranked
34.20.5
33.634.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2587
Unranked
51.40.8
51.151.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.1
3991
Unranked
21.30.5
20.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1818
Unranked
9.50.8
9.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
3039
Unranked
20.20.5
19.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End