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Red6
408317.4
50202.5
496518.2
Blue85
102445.8
424310.8
265528.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38620100150200250685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#63
18.23.0
17.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.6
1024
#22
45.82.2
27.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4083
#38
17.43.0
10.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
28.52.2
19.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5020
#45
2.58.5
2.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
4243
#39
10.82.2
10.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End