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Red6
34216.3
53375.7
13985.8
Blue107
218724.1
34645.9
155322.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367901001502002503006107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#40
16.33.0
16.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.6
346
#10
45.92.9
30.433.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1398
#64
5.83.0
9.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
2187
#23
24.12.9
23.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5337
#32
5.73.0
16.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
1553
#18
22.22.9
18.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End