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Red70
50638.7
493520.2
497632.9
Blue47
297444.1
453315.3
349028.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467201001502002503007047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#27
32.91.7
24.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
2974
#50
44.11.7
24.222.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4935
#57
20.21.7
14.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
28.21.7
25.023.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5063
#47
8.71.7
11.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
4533
#44
15.31.7
18.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End