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Red59
297444.1
490217.8
446820.6
Blue90
34216.3
382461.7
408317.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488001001502002503003505990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#50
44.10.5
22.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
61.71.3
58.459.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4468
#60
20.60.5
11.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4083
#38
17.41.3
4.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4902
#55
17.80.5
18.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
342
#40
16.31.3
12.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End