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Red51
34216.3
348921.2
153918.8
Blue47
50638.7
264131.6
445234.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596801001502002505147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#41
21.20.8
23.522.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
4452
#33
34.31.7
33.732.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1539
#20
18.80.8
23.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
2641
#28
31.61.7
21.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
342
#40
16.30.8
13.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
5063
#47
8.71.7
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End