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Red245
28139.3
297444.1
445148.4
Blue115
164830.2
51309.9
102445.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7484050100150200250300245115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#53
48.414.1
33.047.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1024
#22
45.82.7
46.349.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2974
#50
44.114.1
23.037.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
1648
#37
30.22.7
26.329.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
281
#24
39.314.1
19.934.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.4
5130
#67
9.92.7
10.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End