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Qual 692014 Palmetto Regional
Red65
496518.2
51309.9
445148.4
Blue151
122545.4
128726.9
177258.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74109020030040065151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#53
48.41.2
47.1→45.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.2
1772
#12
58.64.0
52.8→56.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4965
#63
18.21.2
19.7→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 27.2
1225
#5
45.44.0
30.9→34.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5130
#67
9.91.2
13.0→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.1
1287
#25
26.94.0
20.0→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—