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Red50
265528.5
122545.4
53375.7
Blue27
532714.6
345922.9
34216.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605802040801001201405027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.7
23.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
3459
#51
22.92.8
24.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28.50.7
20.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
342
#40
16.32.8
21.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5337
#32
5.77.7
5.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
5327
#14
14.65.9
17.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End