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Red130
34645.9
408317.4
261436.7
Blue95
497632.9
426721.7
357135.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957105015020025030013095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#10
45.93.2
45.748.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
3571
#36
35.41.6
30.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2614
#29
36.73.0
33.036.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4976
#27
32.91.6
25.827.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4083
#38
17.43.0
12.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
4267
#35
21.71.6
18.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End