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Red128
141327.4
446820.6
531727.9
Blue61
496518.2
450519.0
345922.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4863010015012861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5317
#34
27.96.0
17.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3459
#51
22.90.0
26.426.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1413
#26
27.46.0
24.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
4505
#42
19.00.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4468
#60
20.66.0
9.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4965
#63
18.20.0
18.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End