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Red70
457622.9
220034.0
496518.2
Blue89
297444.1
532714.6
484711.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76630501001502007089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#16
34.00.3
32.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2974
#50
44.11.8
41.943.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4576
#15
22.90.3
23.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
5327
#14
14.61.8
12.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4965
#63
18.20.3
18.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4847
#61
11.71.8
10.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End