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Red120
126160.8
382461.7
493520.2
Blue112
122545.4
131127.2
90042.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149106050200250300120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.5
61.561.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
45.40.0
44.644.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.80.5
60.660.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
900
#13
42.40.0
41.641.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4935
#57
20.20.5
20.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1311
#46
27.20.0
26.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End