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Red101
497632.9
175826.4
220034.0
Blue107
261436.7
297444.1
349028.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90115050150200250101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#16
34.00.1
34.334.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2974
#50
44.10.1
44.844.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4976
#27
32.90.2
33.233.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2614
#29
36.70.1
37.537.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
26.40.2
26.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
28.20.1
28.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End