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Quarterfinal 1-12014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red139
239353.4
382474.3
146622.6
Blue161
34231.4
28146.8
349230.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16389050200250300350139161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.30.2
74.6→74.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.5
281
#11
46.81.0
44.3→45.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2393
#1
53.40.2
53.8→53.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.0
342
#23
31.41.0
28.9→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1466
#16
22.60.2
22.9→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
3492
#10
30.01.1
27.2→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—