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Quarterfinal 1-22014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red185
239353.4
146622.6
382474.3
Blue133
28146.8
34231.4
349230.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16193050200250300185133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.30.6
74.4→74.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.5
281
#11
46.80.5
45.3→45.8
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Teleop—
End—
Second
2393
#1
53.40.6
53.5→54.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.0
342
#23
31.40.5
29.9→30.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1466
#16
22.60.6
22.7→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
3492
#10
30.00.5
28.4→28.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—