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Qual 142014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red119
426565.5
384446.4
124926.1
Blue141
382474.3
146622.6
396624.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7287050100150200119141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#7
65.53.7
37.8→41.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.7
3824
#12
74.33.5
60.4→63.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3844
#5
46.43.7
16.1→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.9
3966
#21
24.54.7
10.6→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1249
#41
26.13.7
20.7→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
1466
#16
22.64.7
13.4→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—