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Qual 172014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red31
502212.9
426423.3
386111.2
Blue0
40988.5
498917.5
40259.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45380100150200250310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#19
23.31.1
17.5→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
4989
#32
17.53.3
10.6→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5022
#38
12.91.1
13.0→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
4025
#45
9.93.3
12.3→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3861
#22
11.21.1
13.6→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
4098
#46
8.53.3
16.6→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—