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Qual 252014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red121
382474.3
311615.8
40988.5
Blue161
518621.1
402051.6
325924.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87520100150200250121161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.32.2
63.9→66.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.7
4020
#13
51.68.6
29.9→38.6
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Teleop—
End—
Second
3116
#40
15.83.3
7.2→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.2
3259
#8
24.18.6
15.3→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
4098
#46
8.53.3
10.3→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
5186
#26
21.18.6
12.0→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—