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Qual 282014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red43
396624.5
448912.5
261452.8
Blue47
351625.7
500517.5
500224.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774201001502004347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#3
52.81.4
39.6→38.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.1
3516
#6
25.70.0
22.2→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3966
#21
24.52.4
19.7→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
5002
#2
24.30.0
13.9→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4489
#34
12.51.4
12.6→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
5005
#15
17.50.0
11.5→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—