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Qual 332014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red115
504516.8
382474.3
49127.3
Blue211
503413.4
426565.5
446233.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10273050150200250115211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.30.9
66.1→67.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.7
4265
#7
65.511.1
40.4→51.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5045
#35
16.81.5
23.5→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.2
4462
#9
33.011.1
28.1→39.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4912
#44
7.31.5
7.8→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
5034
#47
13.411.1
8.7→19.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—